KOSPI는 1월 FOMC 회의를 앞두고 관망세

국내 증시 코멘트

▶ KOSPI는 1월 FOMC 회의를 앞두고 관망세가 이어지는 가운데, AMD의 1분기 매출 가이던스 하회 소식에 영향을 받아 반도체 업종 약세를 보이며 하락 마감.

▶ KOSDAQ은 코리아 디스카운트를 해소하겠다는 정부 정책 기조의 여파로 PBR이 낮은 코스피로 수급이 이동하며 중소형주 투심이 악화한 탓에 낙폭이 확대되며 하락 마감.

*SK하이닉스 -1.6% (AMD의 저조한 매출 전망에 반도체 투심 약화)
*삼성바이오로직스 +2.0% (미-중 바이오 규제 반사 이익 기대감)
*하이비젼시스템 +25.9% (카메라 모듈 관련 제품 및 이차전지 사업 영역 확대를 통해 안정적인 매출 성장 기대감)
제주은행 +29.9% (시중은행으로 전환 기준 확정 발표 소식)
*아모레퍼시픽 -13.0% (중국 사업 손실의 영향으로 4분기 영업이익 급감 소식)


1. Kosdaq sellers' accounts are failing.. never invest in Yoon Suk Yeol-run countries.

The surrounding area gradually begins to make a croak.
The KOSPI actually doesn't fall that much, but it certainly seems that many people are selling KOSDAQ.
It seems to have fallen a lot, but the KOSDAQ PER seems to have fallen slightly below 100 only today.

Finding the bottom with value is meaningless.
There seems to be no choice but to hope that the will of the big brothers and the speculative sentiment of individuals will revive quickly.
(Director Stalsang, there could be a rebound in anger just because KOSDAQ 800 was broken today.)

KOSDAQ is also the strongest when rebounding, so please don't be too disappointed.

2.
Financial, energy, and industrial goods were evenly strong in the beauty market yesterday, and semiconductors were weak.

After the market closes, Nasdaq futures are also plunging as disappointing guidance from AMD and Google earnings reports has led to an after-hours plunge.
Maso showed tremendous performance and guidance, so real AI beneficiaries like Nvidia may hold out.

I don't know if there will be a sector rotation or if the market will collapse, but I'm looking at the former.

If Nvidia or Maso also plummet, I think it's a good buying opportunity.

​3.
Yesterday, some tankers broke new highs, and their profits rebounded in a day, so the reporting area is the area.
Tanker fares also seem to have hit short-term highs, and Bulkers were weak at the beginning of the market because of the off-season,
Shipping stocks rallied sharply as Houthis said they would face a long-term standoff.

As you can see from the recent surge in clean tanker fares,
As the Suez Canal traffic decreases, the utilization rate increases as the tonnage gradually increases, and when demand increases, freight rates explode.

Vulker is also seeing a sharp decline in the number of ships traveling to Suez.
According to the Braemar report, theoretically, it could increase by up to 5% in ton miles, and assuming that the Chinese/Russian scent uses Suez as it is, it could increase to about 2%.

That will have a significant impact on the utilization rate.

If the Red Sea crisis continues until April-May, the semi-peak season, there may be an unexpected surge.

China also announced the abolition of real estate regulations in each city yesterday and today (it's surprising that regulations still remain)
India is also expected to see strong growth, so this year's Vulker sector is expected.

​4.
API crude oil inventories were announced after the tailoring, and crude oil inventories also fell sharply than expected in the market.

In particular, Cushing's inventory is the lowest in 12 years as of January.
When the EIA announcement is made tomorrow morning, oil prices are likely to move significantly again.

Biden said he decided how to respond to the shooting of a U.S. military base in Jordan a few days ago.

He wants to avoid all-out war with Iran, so I think he will strike pro-Iranian forces in neighboring countries.

Seeing that Iran is not responsible, too, an all-out war seems scary. (Still, if Iranian territory is attacked for establishing dignity, we will respond.)

Yesterday, the Saudi government instructed Aramco not to increase capa production,
Drilling-related stocks have plummeted, and it seems to be worth containing drilling stocks that are not related to Saudi Arabia. (Isn't it a beneficiary of Rump Ong in the long run? lol)

Thank you for your hard work this month!

​
Water is gradually entering the holding sector,
I look forward to seeing better returns in February than in January :)