Chun Kwan-yul's political commentary is shared

Chun Kwan-yul's political commentary is shared here and there, and it's in English. I don't know if it's because I'm trying to help readers understand by easily schematizing the complex reality, but I can't erase the feeling that I can't see the essence of the situation accurately because I'm overly optimistic.

In dividing the public opinion on impeachment into four categories, writer Chun asserts that there will be only 25% of those who are convinced that martial law was a legitimate act of governance and 2) relative anti-impeachment: The Lee Jae-myung Democratic Party is more dangerous than martial law forces.

Polls? Even after the Yoon Suk Yeol's martial law riot, civil war and impeachment, the power approval rating of the civil war (based on Gallup and Realmeter) has never plummeted, and the lowest figures are 24 percent (Gallup) and 25.7 percent (Realmeter), respectively. And this week's survey showed 34.4 percent, which is surprisingly margin of error, but higher than the polls just before the martial law riot (!)

It is right to see 25 percent as a conservative concrete that they will support even if Yoon Suk Yeol wants to sell the entire country to China, and it is desirable to see that 1 percent is 25 percent and 2) about 5 to 10 percent considering the recent poll numbers. 25 percent is actually similar to the population of the pan-TK (South Gyeongsang Province + TK + Gangwon Province + far-right Protestant province) as I always say.

Under this premise, Cheon Kwan-ryul's prediction that 1)'s influence will also be broken when 2) is included is nothing more than a naive wish. And the reason is carefully assumed to be that the 25% lack historical considerations on how they were organized to directly resist the constitutional order and actively fight the destruction of democracy.

There are many things to say, such as the reverse reaction to fandom politics since Moon Jae In took power, the far-right Rapo formed and shared through so-called framework, and the conservative systemization of conspiracy theories that combine journalism and commercialism with Kim Eo Jun-sik's yellow, but omitted here.

It also analyzes that the backlash is simply because of "fear," and it is right to say that the driving force behind 2) is not fear but hatred or resentment. There is nothing to go far. Let's look back on when the GNP was born in 1997. (Did it go far?) In any case, the Democratic Party members, who did not join the DUP when it merged, joined hands with the New Korea Party, the DUP's successor.

Why? It's because I have a deep grudge against the DJ.

As I have posted before, the process by which DJ created the National Assembly for New Politics was completely ugly. No matter how much political stances he has displayed so far, the question of how he can help those who abandoned their conscience and came to power through civil war is meaningless. He wanted DJ to peep first.
(It is also understandable in this regard why Lee Hoi-chang proposed to liquidate the politics of the three Kims during the 1997 presidential election.)

The same is true. To see the essence of the current situation, it is most important to see what kind of people 2) is made up of. Anyway, Cheon Kwan-ryul believes that if Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party of Korea conducts coalition politics, 2) will be disbanded naturally, but will Lee Jae-myung's grudge be easily resolved simply by securing diversity within the Democratic Party? Were humans so simple? No, apart from that, isn't it right to start from the beginning with why Lee Jae-myung hates being the next president.

Considering it as just a fear of future political retaliation, the only diagnosis can be made is to make the already formed anti-constitutional alliance thicker. Although the approval rating is already less than 5% in the impeachment phase, Rep. Cheon Ha-ram is also a member of the impeachment committee. And even if you wield such political retaliation, will this group 2) be hurt?

Classes of the typical conservative elite, such as Kim Byung-joo and Wi Sung-rak, have also been steadily supplied to the Democratic Party after the 2020 general election. In addition, the various forces that the Democratic Party can attract now are feminists, queers, migrant workers, the disabled, unorganized workers, and anti-femi-oriented men in their 20s and 30s. What coalition should we add here?

Declaration of no political retaliation? There is an image of Lee Jae-myung and the Democratic Party of Korea collaborating. Will we believe this as it is? George Kennan-style containment policy? I don't know how to win over 2) in the first place, and at least 60 constituencies are automatically elected no matter how much the power of the civil war is destroyed. Unless at least 20 of these 60 districts are separated, 1) will not collapse and constitutional amendment will be secured forever.

Unfortunately, the 60 elected vending machines are those neighborhoods where the local sentiment is 1) absolutely majority in the first place, and 2) is treated as an unusual human being even if it is in the position. Even those who took Yoon Suk Yeol because they hated Lee Jae-myung during the last presidential election are generally 3) Relative Impeachment: Martial Law Forces are more dangerous than Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party.

2)The possibility of a connection? Well. Aren't they already politically connected as anti-Democrats even before the martial law riot? It's not even a confrontational relationship in the first place, but among them, those who split that martial law is as wrong as it is possible to regroup at this point and turn against martial law. 3) They want to put their grudge against Lee Jae-myung for a while because impeachment is the top priority?

Let's take a look at the political history of the neighboring country. It's called the "1.5 party system." 55-year-old party system. Why did that happen? As the Socialist Party topped the parliamentary elections in 1955, the party was merged with the Liberal Party, the successor of the Japanese ruling party, and the Japanese Democratic Party, led by uncompromising liberalists. Why? It hated socialism so much.

No, how the liberals who resisted Japanese imperialism could join hands with the war criminals and their descendants, but the anti-communist alliance formed at this time was stronger than expected and lasted as long as 38 years.

In the realm of politics, no matter how conscientious a politician is to achieve long-term political goals, but simply because of feelings of resentment or disgust