National Survey of Indicators

< National Survey of Indicators (NBS) Upgrades Political Parties' Support - 35% National Power vs. 33% Democratic Party >

1>.
Key polls include the National Survey of Indicators (NBS), Gallup Korea and Realmeter. NBS will be released on Thursday, Gallup Korea on Friday, and Realmeter on Monday.

Since the 12.3 martial law, the party's approval rating has reversed for the first time. The national power is 35% and the Democratic Party is 33%.

They were also asked about the approval ratings of presidential candidates based on political parties. They are 36 percent for Democratic Party of Korea and 33 percent for National Defense. They are slightly ahead of Democratic Party candidates by 3 percentage points.

They asked if they wanted a "regime change." It was 48 percent for a regime change vs. 41 percent for a regime change.

2>.
Why on earth is public opinion like this? Has the evaluation of Yoon Suk Yeol been transformed into a "hero" as the far-right and national forces hope?

This is not the case. The poll on "Ceremony and Impeachment" such as citing impeachment, timing of impeachment trial, arrest warrant, and response to Yoon Suk Yeol still maintains 65% vs. 30%.

The KBS and MBC polls announced in the New Year showed a 70 percent vs. 25 percent structure. In the third week of January, only about 5 percentage points changed.

Acting Constitutional Court Justice Choi Sang-mok nominated two of the three judges on Dec. 31. As of this point, the "time of constitution" became effective. At the same time, the "champong phase of the impeachment phase and the early presidential election" was held from then on.

The people think that Yoon Suk Yeol should be driven out. However, when thinking about the presidential election, it seems that there is a clear favor/lose of representative Lee Jae-myung. Of course, it is not enough to overturn the situation.

When asked if there is a regime change, 48% say there is a need for a regime change and 41% say there is a need for a regime change.

In summary, the flow of "Yoon Suk Yeol to defeat, Yoon Suk Yeol to drive out" is not wavering at all regarding the impeachment citation, timing of the impeachment trial, execution of arrest warrants, and response to Yoon Suk Yeol.

However, coming into the <early presidential election frame>, the figure narrows significantly.
<<48% needs regime change vs. 41% needs regime re-creation>>

This gap narrows further when the candidate structure comes in.
<<36% of Democratic presidential candidates vs. 33% of national power presidential candidates>>

The party's approval rating announced by NBS today was 33 percent for the Democratic Party of Korea vs. 35 percent for the national power. Such a party's approval rating should be viewed as a response with even presidential candidates in mind. In a nutshell, it shows that there are still strong likes and dislikes of Chairman Lee Jae-myung.

3>.
What should the DP and its leader Lee Jae-myung do?

It is necessary to pursue an action plan to ease the antipathy of the middle class while being decisive about the rebellion and the insurrection forces.

Easing the antipathy of the middle class does not mean "compromise with the insurrectionists." Yoon Suk Yeol's arrest was justified, Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment would be cited, and Yoon Suk Yeol would go to bread.

You can maintain the principles for "Ecophony, Impeachment".

However, apart from this, it is necessary to make political and policy plans to alleviate antipathy and increase trust between the middle class against the Democratic Party and representative Lee Jae-myung.

4>.
What does the recent Democratic Party, National Power's party approval rating 'stick together' imply?

This implies that the early presidential election in 2025 is highly likely to be a "close presidential election."

After the impeachment of the National Park Geun Hye's manipulation of state affairs in 2017, the total vote share of <Bum Progress> was 47%. It was 41% in Moon Jae In and 6% in Sim Sang Jung.

The total of <median remuneration> was 28%. It was 21% for Ahn Cheol Soo and 7% for Yoo Seung Min.

24% of the Hong Joon Pyo were "conservatives against impeachment". Progress alone did not exceed 50%.

At that time, candidate Moon Jae In made a bold move to expand the middle by recruiting Kim Jong-in, chairman of the emergency committee, recruitment of a concession to Samsung Electronics, and recruitment of secretary Cho Eung-cheon of the Park Geun Hye government in the 2016 general election. This move provided a sense of stability to the middle and conservatives as well.

Elections are 51% games. 51% are made only through the Voters' Union.

The election is a game in which if this side makes 51%, they win, and if that side makes 51%, they lose.

If Mayor Oh Se-hoon is elected as a candidate for national power and later unifies with Lee Joon-seok, the 2025 presidential election will start with a 52% vs. 48% structure.

It starts with 52% of Lee Jae-myung and 48% of Oh Se-hoon. However, the gap of about 7% points will rise and fall through the 'election campaign'.

1) To judge Yoon Suk Yeol, the leader of the civil war
2) The Democratic Party is in power, but it's related,
3) It should not be forgotten that it is a separate matter.

The clinging "party" approval ratings in NBS and Gallup Korea warn Democrats. "Don't be mistaken that you won the Democratic Party. Yoon Suk Yeol, that man has to fly, but you guys have to think about coming to power."

(*Public opinion)