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American Stock Story[2024]

이번에도 10년 국채 금리.. 즉 시장 금리가 뛰어오르면서 어느 새 4.5%에 육박했죠. 오건영님 글 ㅣ 정말 금융 시장 이슈가 무궁무진한 듯 합니다. 트레이드 하시는 분들께 트럼프는 변동성이라는 얘기를 들은 적이 있는데요… 변동성이 큰 만큼 변수가 다양하니 다루어야 할 얘기들도 정말 많은 듯 합니다. 우선 다들 뛰어오르는 원달러 환율과 미국의 독주… 그리고 엔비디아의 실적 발표에 관심이 많으신데요… 그 사이 나타났던 큰 변화 몇 가지를 짚어보면서 환율에 대한 말씀을 전해드리겠습니다. 토요일 새벽 뉴욕 증시는 전체적으로 강보합세로 마감했죠. 미국 10년 국채 금리는 4.4%를 넘어선 이후 한동안 숨고르기를 하고 있습니다. 4.5%를 단숨에 뛰어넘는데 에너지가 더 필요할 수 있겠죠. 그리고 너무 빠르게 뛰는 금리를 좌시하겠느냐… 라는 반론도 만만치 않게 나오는 것도 사실입니다. 10년 금리의 .. 더보기
경제의 위험 요인이 일부 현실화될 경우 더 큰 폭의 금리 인하를 논의할 수 있다고 언급. 1) ECB 공격적 인하 베팅에 유로 급락유로존 종합 PMI(구매관리자지수)는 11월 잠정치가 48.1로 1월래 최저치를 기록. 이에 시장은 12월 ECB가 50bp 인하를 단행할 확률을 전일 약 15%에서 50% 위로 높여 잡았음. 유로는 지난 3개월 동안 달러 대비 2.7% 가량 하락해 G-10 통화 중 최악의 성적을 나타냈음. 트레이더들은 유로-달러 환율이 더 하락해 1:1 패리티로 향할 가능성에 베팅을 늘리는 모습. 패리티가 발생한 경우는 1999년 유로화 출범 이후 그동안 단 두 차례에 불과2) ECB 센테노, ‘빅 컷 논의 가능’마리오 센테노 유럽중앙은행(ECB) 정책위원은 유로존 경제의 위험 요인이 일부 현실화될 경우 더 큰 폭의 금리 인하를 논의할 수 있다고 언급. 포르투갈 중앙은행 총재인.. 더보기
As expected, Trump nominated Scott Bessent, a former hedge fund As expected, Trump nominated Scott Bessent, a former hedge fund, as his treasury secretary. A political science major at Yale University, he is more widely known as the spearhead of attacks against the pound in the past at the Soros Fund. He is gay (I miss my favorite scientist, Alan Turing), and he is not from the orthodox financial sector who actively supported Trump's tariff policy.He is also.. 더보기
basic principles of trend follow-up basic principles of trend follow-upWhen the price rises, it is bought, and when it falls, it is sold short or held cash. Conversely, the act of picking up a falling stock as a low point or buying it as cheap is not a trend pursuit. This corresponds to watering down, an action that should be avoided in trend pursuit. If the price of the stock you hold is falling, it is the right choice to withdra.. 더보기
LABU had me for three years. What I had to LABU had me for three years. What I had to endure during those three years was more than just a loss. Words cannot describe the despair when the loss of minus 98% or more and the maximum loss reached 700 million won. I looked at the chart day by day and hung on to the hope that it would rebound at some point. But hope was slowly erased from the chart, and eventually I realized. Hope is not an in.. 더보기
When you see Dogecoin soaring, fraudulent stocks go wild. When you see Dogecoin soaring, fraudulent stocks go wild.Coins that started as pranks are more expensive than Hilton, Ford, or even Royal Caribbean. This is proof that the entire financial market is being played around by memes. Dogecoin, what are you?Analyzing: Dogecoin's Reality1. Meme is dominating reality•Dogecoin was made to be funny, but now it's become a monster sucking people's money.•An.. 더보기
There's a point I've always told you while prices are rising so fast. There's a point I've always told you while prices are rising so fast. "People's psychology and analytical patterns are trapped in long-standing sideways structures."=>Now the psychology is changing.Despite the "situation" of breaking through the trend, I analyzed it using an analysis that fits well only within the lateral section, and I told you that sentiment is still shrinking even if prices h.. 더보기
The early morning price increase is likely to have been bought by MSTR. The early morning price increase is likely to have been bought by MSTR.Now, let me mention it because these traces have recently appeared for the third time.After ETF approval, the coinbase premium (CPG) is directly linked to ETF net inflows. Specifically, it is most correlated with Fidelity (FBTC).However, CPG premiums appear, and there have been three recent sections that have been net outflow.. 더보기

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