the day the Taiwan Strait is sealed off
The basis of the U.S. policy toward Taiwan is known to maintain strategic ambiguity, but at least the U.S. has called on China to keep the so-called red line, which is strictly wary of breaking through the middle line of the Taiwan Strait using military means against mainland China
However, China has recently pushed ahead with military exercises to physically seal off the island nation of Taiwan in flagrant defiance of U.S. red lines
Eventually, on October 14, military exercises were carried out to completely block Taiwan, although they were all ended in one day
If China continues such a blockade on Taiwan for only two weeks, it will inevitably deal a devastating blow to Taiwan's economy, as its storage facilities are only 11 days long, with 43 percent of electricity's dependence on imported natural gas
If China goes beyond just locking down Taiwan and launches a blockade operation on the Taiwan Strait, South Korea and Japan, which are highly dependent on Middle Eastern crude oil, will also suffer a fatal economic blow
It is hard to rule out the possibility of a terrible nightmare in Asia, where Germany, which relied on Russian natural gas, has been blocked from importing natural gas after the war in Ukraine, causing its manufacturing industry to suffer a huge blow
We should also not overlook the very high possibility that if Trump were to become president, China's blockade of the Taiwan Strait would be left unattended for a considerable period of time to get South Korea and Japan to give up Middle East crude and import much more expensive U.S. natural gas and crude oil
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