BOJ raises interest rate to 0.5%
1. Interest rate hikes and decisions
- Bank of Japan raises short-term interest rate target to 0.5 percent.
- The rate hike was at an expected level, adjusted to 0.5% from 0.25% previously.
- The rate decision was passed with a vote of 8 vs 1, which Nakamura opposed.
- Nakamura opposed the rate hike and called for further financial market review at the next meeting.
2. economic and price outlook
- The Japanese economy is recovering slowly, but some weakness is emerging.
- The forecast for real GDP growth for fiscal 2024 was revised down from 0.6% to 0.5%.
- The core CPI growth rate for fiscal 2025 was 2.4%, up from a previous forecast of 1.9%.
- The Bank of Japan expects inflation to remain above 2% between 2024 and 2026.
3. Policy Direction and Risk
- The Bank of Japan will consider further rate hikes if economic and price forecasts materialize.
- It is predicted that trends in the financial and foreign exchange markets will have a greater impact on prices than in the past.
- Price risks are skewed upward in both 2024 and 2025, and economic activity risks remain balanced.
- Financial conditions will remain relaxed and support economic activities will continue.
4. market reaction
- After the announcement of the rate hike, the yen fell to 156.41 against the dollar.
- The global financial market is stable, and the possibility of realizing the Japanese economic outlook is increasing.
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