인플레이션과 경기침체 우려로, 금값은 계속 오르네요

Is the fluctuation of gold a "pre-recession 兆"?

인플레이션과 경기침체 우려로, 금값은 계속 오르네요

Gold prices have recently risen sharply, and in the past, in the case of the U.S. economy, when the gold price increase rate was higher than the stock market's stock price increase rate, a recession would come
This is also an example of how the United States actually experienced several recessions in the past

It is true that higher uncertainties in the economy often lead to higher gold prices, and higher uncertainties in the economy increase the possibility of the economy falling into a recession, but there are also many doubtful points to admit the causal relationship between gold price trends and economic recession

However, if the gold price increase rate is higher than the stock price increase rate, it is necessary to consider it as a "premonition of recession" and carefully observe the economy

In particular, given that real U.S. consumption is starting to decline in consideration of inflation from January 2024, it is necessary to pay more attention to gold price trends and U.S. stock price trends

In particular, it is difficult to rule out the possibility that gold price growth will be higher than stock price growth in the future, considering that the U.S. stock market is overvalued by more than 30% from historical experience

I think it's only a matter of time before the U.S. enters a recession