S. Korea's economy "risks of collapse" looming
Having coined the new term "Balance Sheet Recession" while analyzing the lost two decades of the Japanese economy, Taiwan-born Japanese economist Richard C. Koo recently pointed out to the South China Morning Post that the current downturn in the Chinese economy is a typical "Balance Sheet Recession."
A "general recession" is caused by fluctuations in the economic cycle, but a "borrowing balance sheet recession" is characterized by a slowdown in household consumption and corporate investment, which occurs when high levels of household and corporate debt cause them to lose spending and investment capabilities
Personally, I believe that the current downturn in the Chinese economy is due to the fact that the growth model of the Chinese economy has contradictions and flaws that are not sustainable
I don't agree at all with the view that the downturn in China's economy is simply a "loan-contrast table recession," as Richard C. Koo argues
Rather, the Korean economy, which has the world's No. 1 debt and the pace of world's No. 1 debt growth, is likely to fall into what Richard C. Koo calls a "borrowing balance sheet recession."
Most disturbing and frightening is that if the Korean economy falls into a ``loan-to-balance sheet recession,'' it may take decades, not years, to get out of it, unlike a ``general recession.''
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